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赛事分析 2026.07.11

Chinese Super League Preview: Chengdu Rongcheng vs. Chongqing Tongliang Long

Match Information

  • Competition: Chinese Football Super League
  • Fixture: Chengdu Rongcheng vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
  • Time: 2026-07-11 12:00 (Beijing Time)
  • Home Team: Chengdu Rongcheng
  • Away Team: Chongqing Tongliang Long

Recent Form

Chengdu Rongcheng

Chengdu Rongcheng have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses in their last 5 matches, showing clearly strong overall form.

Last 5 matches:

  • 2026-05-19: Chengdu Rongcheng 3:1 Shanghai Port
  • 2026-05-15: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1:2 Chengdu Rongcheng
  • 2026-04-21: Chengdu Rongcheng 2:1 Yunnan Yukun
  • 2026-04-20: Chengdu Rongcheng 2:1 Yunnan Yukun
  • 2026-04-17: Wuhan Three Towns 0:1 Chengdu Rongcheng

Statistics:

  • Goals scored: 10
  • Goals conceded: 4
  • Average goals scored per match: 2.0
  • Average goals conceded per match: 0.8
  • Scored in all of the last 5 matches
  • Scored at least 2 goals in 4 of the last 5 matches

Chengdu Rongcheng’s advantage lies mainly in their attacking consistency. They have won all of their last 5 matches and have managed to find the net reliably against Shanghai Port, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, Yunnan Yukun and others, indicating relatively stable attacking output of late.

It should be noted that the data contains records of two consecutive days facing Yunnan Yukun with identical 2:1 scorelines, which may indicate duplicated fixture data or an unspecified competition type. The reliability of this data should therefore be treated conservatively.

Chongqing Tongliang Long

Chongqing Tongliang Long have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in their last 5 matches. Their unbeaten rate is not low, but their winning momentum is not as pronounced as Chengdu Rongcheng’s.

Last 5 matches:

  • 2026-05-20: Chongqing Tongliang Long 0:0 Yunnan Yukun
  • 2026-04-26: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1:1 Qingdao West Coast
  • 2026-04-21: Shanghai Port 1:2 Chongqing Tongliang Long
  • 2026-04-21: Shenzhen Peng City 2:0 Chongqing Tongliang Long
  • 2026-04-20: Shanghai Port 0:2 Chongqing Tongliang Long

Statistics:

  • Goals scored: 5
  • Goals conceded: 4
  • Average goals scored per match: 1.0
  • Average goals conceded per match: 0.8
  • 2 clean sheets in the last 5 matches
  • Failed to win and scored no more than 1 goal in 2 of the last 5 matches

Chongqing Tongliang Long’s defensive numbers are not bad at all — they have conceded the same number of goals as Chengdu Rongcheng over the last 5 matches, indicating a certain ability to limit goals conceded. However, averaging just 1 goal per match in attack puts them clearly below Chengdu Rongcheng.

At the same time, Chongqing Tongliang Long’s data contains records of two matches on the same day, with 2026-04-21 showing fixtures against both Shanghai Port and Shenzhen Peng City, raising questions about the completeness of the fixture data. Therefore, one should not overstate the ability to compete with strong opponents implied by their two wins over Shanghai Port.

Head-to-Head History

This prompt does not provide head-to-head data between Chengdu Rongcheng and Chongqing Tongliang Long.

As a result, it is not possible to judge stylistic matchups, home/away head-to-head tendencies, or historical psychological advantage for this fixture. The absence of this data lowers confidence in the prediction.

League Table Situation

This prompt does not provide either team’s league table position, points, goal difference, or home/away standings in the Chinese Football Super League.

Consequently, it is not possible to assess the two sides’ current league pressure, title-race/relegation-battle context, points gap, or overall season consistency. This article can only analyse on the basis of recent form and the scorelines provided.

Data Analysis

Based on the last 5 matches, Chengdu Rongcheng’s advantage is clearer:

MetricChengdu RongchengChongqing Tongliang Long
Last 5 matches5W 0D 0L2W 2D 1L
Goals scored105
Goals conceded44
Avg. goals scored2.01.0
Avg. goals conceded0.80.8
Clean sheets12
Matches without scoring02

Chengdu Rongcheng’s core strength is attacking consistency: they have scored in all of their last 5 matches, and in several of them netted 2 or more goals. Chongqing Tongliang Long’s defence has performed reasonably well, but their attacking efficiency is on the low side — only 5 goals in the last 5 matches, including restricted attacking displays such as the 0:0 and 0:2 results.

On assessing a draw: this fixture lacks head-to-head data, Chengdu Rongcheng have had no draws in their last 5 matches, and Chongqing Tongliang Long have only 2 draws in their last 5. This does not satisfy the hard criteria for a draw (“at least 3 draws in the sides’ last 5 H2H meetings + at least 3 draws in each side’s own last 5 matches”). Therefore, draw scorelines such as 1:1, 0:0 and 2:2 are not being put forward.

The reviewers’ doubts about the P1 first draft are justified: with Chengdu Rongcheng winning all of their last 5 matches and clearly showing higher attacking efficiency, and with head-to-head data missing, retaining 1:1 as an alternative would be overly conservative. Chongqing Tongliang Long’s defensive numbers deserve respect, but their attack is not strong enough to justify forcing a draw prediction.

Match Prediction

Taking the available data as a whole, Chengdu Rongcheng deserve to be rated a notch higher. The home side have won all of their last 5 matches at an average of 2 goals per game, and their attacking consistency is clearly superior to Chongqing Tongliang Long’s. The visitors’ defence is far from loose, but their attacking output is low, and if they cannot break the rhythm first, there is a high probability they will come under pressure away from home.

Given that both sides have conceded an identical 0.8 goals per match over their last 5 games, Chongqing Tongliang Long are not the type to be broken down by a heavy scoreline, so the margin should not be stretched too far. The more reasonable leaning is for Chengdu Rongcheng to take the match on the back of their more consistent attacking efficiency.

Final Prediction

  • Predicted outcome: Chengdu Rongcheng win
  • Predicted score: Chengdu Rongcheng 2:0 Chongqing Tongliang Long
  • Confidence rating: 3 stars / 5 stars

Reason for the lowered confidence: league table data and head-to-head data are missing, and both sides’ recent records contain anomalous entries suggesting duplicated fixtures or multiple matches on the same day.

Disclaimer: The above analysis is based on publicly available match data and is intended solely for fans’ reference and discussion. It does not constitute any betting advice.


Post-Match Result

Final score 1 : 1 | Prediction: Incorrect ❌

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