League of Ireland Premier Division: Bohemians vs St Patrick’s Athletic Preview Analysis

Match Information

Competition: League of Ireland Premier Division
Fixture: Bohemians vs St Patrick’s Athletic
Time: 2026-06-26 19:00 (Beijing Time)
Data Scope: Based solely on the recent results and head-to-head data provided in the prompt

Recent Form of Both Teams

Bohemians

Bohemians’ record over their last 5 matches is 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses, indicating relatively weak overall form.

In those 5 matches they have scored 6 goals and conceded 11, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 goals conceded per match. The team’s attack has not gone completely silent — they have scored in several consecutive matches — but their defensive problems are obvious: they have conceded in every one of the last 5 matches, including a 1:4 defeat to Derry City.

Among their home samples, there is only one result — a 2:1 win over Drogheda United — which suggests they have some ability to pick up points at home, but the sample size is insufficient, so their home advantage should not be overstated.

St Patrick’s Athletic

St Patrick’s Athletic’s record over their last 5 matches is 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, clearly better form than Bohemians.

In those 5 matches they have scored 11 goals and conceded 2, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded per match. The team has been more stable at both ends recently, with both emphatic wins of 3:0 and 5:0 and a low-scoring 0:0 draw against Derry City, indicating solid defensive quality.

However, among St Patrick’s Athletic’s last 5 matches, the only away sample is the 0:0 draw with Derry City, so there is insufficient data on the continuity of their away attack, which means confidence in the prediction should be reduced accordingly.

Head-to-Head History

Only 1 head-to-head match is provided:

2026-04-24: St Patrick’s Athletic 3:1 Bohemians

St Patrick’s Athletic won 3:1 at home in that match, showing that they held the advantage in the most recent direct meeting. However, with only a single head-to-head data point, the sample is insufficient, and one cannot directly conclude that the same scoreline will necessarily repeat in this fixture.

Data Analysis

Based on recent data, St Patrick’s Athletic have been the stronger side overall: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in their last 5, with attacking and defensive efficiency clearly superior to Bohemians’. Bohemians’ biggest problem is their defense — 11 goals conceded in their last 5 matches makes a clean-sheet expectation hard to support.

But an emphatic away win should not be assumed too readily here, for three reasons:

1. Bohemians have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, so at home against St Patrick’s Athletic there is at least a possibility of them finding the net.

2. St Patrick’s Athletic’s away attacking sample is insufficient — their only away data point is the 0:0 draw with Derry City.

3. Although the head-to-head was a 3:1 win for St Patrick’s Athletic, that match was at St Patrick’s Athletic’s home ground, whereas home and away are reversed in this fixture.

Adjacent Scoreline Comparison

1:1 vs 1:2:

1:1 is a possibility, since Bohemians have shown the ability to score consistently while St Patrick’s Athletic have a limited away attacking sample. But St Patrick’s Athletic have been more solid defensively and more efficient in attack recently, so 1:2 rates slightly higher than 1:1.

1:2 vs 2:1:

2:1 would represent Bohemians bouncing back at home and overpowering their opponents, but Bohemians have conceded too many goals in their last 5 matches and their only recent win came against Drogheda United, so the supporting evidence is weak. By comparison, 1:2 better reflects the gap between the two teams’ recent attacking and defensive form.

1:2 vs 2:2:

2:2 would require Bohemians to score 2 goals while St Patrick’s Athletic also maintain their attacking output. Bohemians do have scoring ability, but against a St Patrick’s Athletic side conceding only 0.4 goals per match recently, scoring 2 goals is fairly difficult, so 2:2 rates below 1:2.

0:1 vs 1:2:

0:1 would reflect a narrow win and clean sheet for St Patrick’s Athletic, but Bohemians’ attack has not dried up over their last 5 matches, and the probability of them scoring 1 goal at home is not low. Therefore 1:2 is more reasonable than 0:1.

Prediction

Taking recent form, attacking and defensive efficiency, and the sole head-to-head record together, St Patrick’s Athletic are closer to the win, but considering the reversal of home and away, the insufficient away attacking sample, and Bohemians’ capacity to score, this match leans toward a narrow win for St Patrick’s Athletic rather than a lopsided rout.

Predicted Score: Bohemians 1:2 St Patrick’s Athletic
Confidence Rating: 3 stars

Candidate Scoreline Ranking

1. 1:2 — 42%

2. 1:1 — 33%

3. 0:1 — 25%

The above analysis is based on publicly available match data and is intended solely for fans’ reference and discussion. It does not constitute any betting advice.

League of Ireland Premier Division: Bohemians vs St Patrick's Athletic — Match Preview and Analysis